Encontro de Energia no Meio Rural
Agrener

Abstract

DORILEO, Ivo Leandro and BAJAY, Sérgio Valdir. Projeção da demanda energética do setor agropecuário de Mato Grosso utilizando o modelo de decomposição estrutural. In Proceedings of the 6. Encontro de Energia no Meio Rural, 2006, Campinas (SP, Brazil) [online]. 2006 [cited 25 April 2024]. Available from: <http://www.proceedings.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=MSC0000000022006000200030&lng=en&nrm=iso> .

Agriculture in Mato Grosso is, currently, the main responsible for the high economic growth of the state's economy, sustaining population in rural areas and pushing industrialization. Around 30% of the state's GDP is provided by this sector. A retrospective analysis of the evolution of the economic and energy consumption related parameters involved in the structural decomposition forecasting model precedes, in this paper, a prospective analysis, up to the year 2012, using this model, of energy consumption in this sector in the State. The energy demand forecasts follow a structure of macroeconomic scenarios which correspond to several possibilities of the local GDP growth.

Keywords : Planejamento energético regional; projeção da demanda energética; consumo de energia no setor agropecuário.