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Encontro de Energia no Meio Rural
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Abstract
Dorileo Ivo Leandro, Bajay Sérgio Valdir. Projeção da demanda energética do setor agropecuário de Mato Grosso utilizando o modelo de decomposição estrutural. In: Proceedings of the 6. Encontro de Energia no Meio Rural [Proceedings online]; 2006 June 06-08; Campinas, SP, Brazil. 2006 [cited 2024 May 16]. Available from: URL: http://www.proceedings.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=MSC0000000022006000200030&lng=en&nrm=van .
Agriculture in Mato Grosso is, currently, the main responsible for the high economic growth of the state's economy, sustaining population in rural areas and pushing industrialization. Around 30% of the state's GDP is provided by this sector. A retrospective analysis of the evolution of the economic and energy consumption related parameters involved in the structural decomposition forecasting model precedes, in this paper, a prospective analysis, up to the year 2012, using this model, of energy consumption in this sector in the State. The energy demand forecasts follow a structure of macroeconomic scenarios which correspond to several possibilities of the local GDP growth.
Keywords : Planejamento energético regional; projeção da demanda energética; consumo de energia no setor agropecuário.